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Observational Analysis of Cloud and Precipitation in Midlatitude Cyclones: Northern Versus Southern Hemisphere Warm Fronts

机译:中纬度气旋云和降水的观测分析:北对南半球暖锋

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摘要

Extratropical cyclones are responsible for most of the precipitation and wind damage in the midlatitudes during the cold season, but there are still uncertainties on how they will change in a warming climate. An ubiquitous problem amongst General Circulation Models (GCMs) is a lack of cloudiness over the southern oceans that may be in part caused by a lack of clouds in cyclones. We analyze CloudSat, CALIPSO and AMSR-E observations for 3 austral and boreal cold seasons and composite cloud frequency of occurrence and precipitation at the warm fronts for northern and southern hemisphere oceanic cyclones. We find that cloud frequency of occurrence and precipitation rate are similar in the early stage of the cyclone life cycle in both northern and southern hemispheres. As cyclones evolve and reach their mature stage, cloudiness and precipitation at the warm front increase in the northern hemisphere but decrease in the southern hemisphere. This is partly caused by lower amounts of precipitable water being available to southern hemisphere cyclones, and smaller increases in wind speed as the cyclones evolve. Southern hemisphere cloud occurrence at the warm front is found to be more sensitive to the amount of moisture in the warm sector than to wind speeds. This suggests that cloudiness in southern hemisphere storms may be more susceptible to changes in atmospheric water vapor content, and thus to changes in surface temperature than their northern hemisphere counterparts. These differences between northern and southern hemisphere cyclones are statistically robust, indicating A-Train-based analyses as useful tools for evaluation of GCMs in the next IPCC report.
机译:在寒冷季节,温带气旋是造成中纬度大部分降水和风害的原因,但是在变暖的气候下它们将如何变化仍存在不确定性。通用环流模型(GCM)中普遍存在的问题是,南部海洋上空缺乏云量,这可能部分是由于旋风分离器中缺乏云量所致。我们分析了北半球和南半球海洋气旋的3个南方和北方寒冷季节的CloudSat,CALIPSO和AMSR-E观测以及在暖锋处的复合云出现和降水的频率。我们发现,在南半球气旋生命周期的早期,云的出现频率和降水速率相似。随着气旋的发展并达到其成熟阶段,北半球的暖锋云量和降水增加,而南半球则减少。这部分是由于可用于南半球旋风的可降水量较少,以及随着旋风的发展风速增加较小。发现在暖锋处出现的南半球云对暖风中的水分含量比对风速更敏感。这表明,与北半球风暴相比,南半球风暴的阴天可能更易受大气水汽含量变化的影响,因此更容易受到地表温度变化的影响。北半球和南半球气旋之间的这些差异在统计上是可靠的,这表明在下一次IPCC报告中,基于A训练的分析是评估GCM的有用工具。

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